Skip to main content

Table 4 Estimation of model parameters for any OI

From: Forecast analysis of any opportunistic infection among HIV positive individuals on antiretroviral therapy in Uganda

Model

Model parameter

Coefficient

p-value

Arima(1,1,1)

constant

−0.26

<0.0001

AR(1)

0.28

0.008

MA(1)

−0.88

<0.0001

Sigma

3.2

<0.0001

Arima(1,1,2)

constant

−0.23

<0.0001

AR(1)

0.73

<0.0001

MA(1)

−1.41

0.999

MA(2)

−0.41

0.999

Sigma

2.99

0.499

Arima(2,1,1)

constant

−0.23

<0.0001

AR(1)

0.32

<0.0001

AR(2)

0.19

0.045

MA(1)

−1.0

0.981

Sigma

2.98

0.481