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Table 1 Risk factors and fuzzy membership functions used to create risk maps

From: A multi-criteria decision analysis approach to assessing malaria risk in northern South America

Data

Source

Factor

Control points

Fuzzy function

Rationale

Deforestation

Global Forest change [54]

Distance (km)

0, 5

Linear ↓

Vectors are found within 5 km of deforested areas

Elevation

SRTM 90 m

Elevation (m)

500, 1800

J-shaped ↓

Exposure to vectors decrease above 500 m and is non-existent above 1800 m

Population

LandScan

Population density

2, 50, 100, 150

Sigmoidal ↑↓

Populations between 2 and 150/km2 are sufficient for malaria transmission

Precipitation

WorldClim

Precipitation (mm)

0, 80

Linear ↑

Precipitation of 80 mm is suitable for vectors for stable transmission to occur [43]

Roads

DCW

Distance (km)

0, 5

Linear ↓

Transmission occurs within 5 km of roads where blood meals are available

Temperature

WorldClim

Temperature °C

18, 22, 32, 40

Sigmoidal ↑↓

Sporogony starts at 18 °C and is completed at 22 °C, vector survival decreases above 32 °C and death occurs at 40 °C [43]

TWI

SRTM 90 m

Soil Saturation (%)

0, 5

Linear ↑

An area requires about 5 % water saturation to serve as breeding site

Urban areas

DeLorme, Inc.

Distance (km)

1, 10, 20, 30

Sigmoidal ↑↓

Vectors are absent in urban areas but found in the urban periphery

Wetlands

WWF

Distance (km)

0, 3

Linear ↓

Vectors are found within 3 km of wetlands

  1. Abbreviations and Symbols: SRTM Shuttle Radar Topography Mission, DCW Digital Chart of the World, WWF World Wildlife Fund. The ↑ arrows indicates an increasing function, ↓ a decreasing function and ↑↓ a symmetric function