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Table 1 Smoking Prevalence Scenarios Modelled With Mortality Projections (study period 2012-13)

From: Improvements in life expectancy among Australians due to reductions in smoking: Results from a risk percentiles approach

Scenario Targeted Population Change in smoking behaviour
Base scenario Whole population No change
0 % prevalence <30 years 25-29 year age groups All smokers in targeted age group quit
10 % prevalence <30 years 25-29 year age groups Prevalence reduced to 10 % for both men and women aged <30 years
0 % prevalence <40 years 25-39 year age groups All smokers in targeted age group quit
10 % prevalence <40 years 25-39 year age groups Prevalence reduced to 10 % for both men and women aged <40 years
0 % prevalence <50 years 25-49 year age groups All smokers in targeted age group quit
10 % prevalence <50 years 25-49 year age groups Prevalence reduced to 10 % for both men and women aged <50 years
0 % prevalence <60 years 25-59 year age groups All smokers in targeted age group quit
10 % prevalence <60 years 25-59 year age groups Prevalence reduced to 10 % for both men and women aged <60 years
0 % prevalence <70 years 25-69 year age groups All smokers in targeted age group quit
10 % prevalence <70 years 25-69 year age groups Prevalence reduced to 10 % for both men and women aged <70 years
0 % prevalence <80 years 25-79 year age groups All smokers in targeted age group quit
10 % prevalence <80 years 25-79 year age groups Prevalence reduced to 10 % for both men and women aged <80 years
10 % prevalence in entire population Whole population Prevalence randomly reduced to 10 % for both men and women
0 % prevalence in entire population Whole population All smokers quit