Table 1 Parameters
Parameter | Initial value | Lower | Upper | Interpretation | Reference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
V: vaccination coverage | 0.95 | 0.85 | 1 | vaccination coverage rate for individuals aged less than or equal to 18Â years | |
Ω: immunity clustering | 0.5 | 0 | 1 | level of immunity clustering for individuals aged less than or equal to 18 years in a household |  |
Household contact probability | 0.46 | 0.01 | 1 | contact probability per day between any two household members | Â |
Neighborhood contact rate | 3 person/day | 0.5 | 7 | contact rate per day in neighbourhood | assume |
Workplace contact rate | 3 person/day | 0 | 7 | contact rate per day in workplace | synthetic population |
School contact rate | 9 person/day | 3 | 20 | contact rate per day in school | |
Daycare contact rate | 9 person/day | 3 | 20 | contact rate per day in daycare | |
Household transmission probability | 0.99 | 0.99 | 0.99 | transmission probability per contact in household | [30] |
Neighborhood transmission probability | 0.99 | 0.99 | 0.99 | transmission probability per contact in neighborhood | [30] |
Workplace transmission probability | 0.99 | 0.99 | 0.99 | transmission probability per contact in workplace | [30] |
School transmission probability | 0.99 | 0.99 | 0.99 | transmission probability per contact in school | [30] |
Daycare transmission probability | 0.99 | 0.99 | 0.99 | transmission probability per contact in daycare | [30] |
Vaccine efficacy | 0.99 | 0.99 | 0.99 | efficacy of two doses of vaccine for measles, mumps and rubella | |
Trace probability | 1 | 1 | 1 | probability that an individual is traceable | assume |
Intervention delay | 1Â day | 1 | 3 | intervention delay for contacts of an index case | (J. Zipprich, pers. commun.) |
Contact tracing delay | 1Â day | 1 | 3 | delay for tracing a contact from an infectious case | assume |
Self report delay | 2Â day | 1 | 6 | delay between the first day of symptom of a case and the day the case visits hospital | assume |
Cooperation probability | 1 | 1 | 1 | probability that an individual is cooperative to accept public health interventions | assume |
Contact finding probability | 1 | 0.7 | 1 | probability that a contact of an infectious case can be traced | assume |
Post-exposure prophylactic vaccine efficacy | 0.93 | 0.92 | 0.95 | efficacy of post-exposure prophylactic vaccine for measles, mumps and rubella | |
Post-exposure prophylactic immune globulin efficacy | 0.75 | 0.6 | 0.9 | efficacy of post-exposure prophylactic immune globulin | |
Home quarantine probability | 0.97 | 0.9 | 1 | probability that an individual who is recommended to stay home until recovery will follow the recommendation | assume |
Home stay probability | 0.61 | 0 | 1 | probability that a case decides (on each day of the symptomatic period of the case) to stay home until recovery | assume |