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Table 1 Factors associated with first-line ARV prices

From: Factors influencing global antiretroviral procurement prices

Antiretroviral drugs+

EFV

600 mg

3TC150 mg/ZDV 300 mg

3TC

150 mg

NVP

200 mg

d4T

40 mg

ZDC

300 mg

HIV prevalence 2-5%

-0.079

(-0.247, 0.089)

0.056

(-0.123, 0.236)

0.081

(-0.166, 0.328)

0.126

(-0.003, 0.256)

0.156

(-0.346, 0.035)

-0.014

(-0.179, 0.152)

HIV prevalence >5%

-0.120

(-0.301, 0.061)

0.140

(-0.026, 0.307)

0.143

(-0.211, 0.497)

0.100*

(0.006, 0.194)

0.230

(-0.686, 0.226)

-0.008

(-0.056, 0.041)

Lower-middle income

0.035

(-0.088, 0.158)

0.114

(-0.088, 0.316)

0.053

(-0.242, 0.348)

0.200

(-0.208, 0.609)

0.356

(-0.277, 0.989)

0.027

(-0.212, 0.266)

Upper-middle income

0.027

(-0.180, 0.233)

0.356**

(0.295, 0.416)

0.308*

(0.160, 0.456)

0.390**

(-0.295, 0.485)

0.483*

(0.146, 0.820)

0.190*

(0.018, 0.363)

Volume 2 nd tercile

-0.039

(-0.264, 0.186)

-0.040

(-0.144, 0.063)

-0.041

(0.217, 0.134)

-0.149*

(-0.296, -0.002)

0.120

(-0.280, 0.039)

-0.033

(-0.152 -0.085)

Volume 3 th tercile

-0.136

(-0.407, 0.135)

-0.034

(-0.196, 0.128)

-0.045

(-0.271, 0.181)

-0.271*

(-0.523, -0.020)

-0.143

(0.400, 0.113)

-0.073

(-0.226, 0.079)

API***

-0.002

(-0.015, 0.012)

-0.007*

(-0.015, 0.000)

-0.013**

(-0.019, -0.006)

-0.003

(-0.007, 0.001)

-0.001

(-0.013, 0.011)

0.001

(-0.011, 0.013)

Innovator

0.568**

(0.299, 0.837)

0.736**

(0.409, 1.063)

0.452*

(-0.094, 0.810)

1.730**

(1.366, 2.093)

1.000*

(0.372, 1.629)

0.458**

(0.210, 0.705)

CHAI++

-0.104

(-0.538, 0.331)

-0.156

(-0.356, 0.042)

-0.264*

(-0.511, -0.017)

-0.105

(-0.368, 0.159)

-0.190

(-0.761, 0.382)

0.015

(-0.335, 0.365)

PEPFAR+++

0.007

(-0.228, 0.242)

-0.089*

(-0.194, -0.015)

-0.132

(-0.491, 0.228)

-0.048

(-0.374, 0.278)

0.015

(-0.325, 0.354)

-0.069

(-0.227, 0.089)

R-square

0.338

0.390

0.305

0.560

0.396

0.183

Observations

1514

1519

1244

1638

619

771

  1. Linear regression models whether the dependent variable is the logarithm of price. The reference categories are: HIV Prevalence <2%; Low income countries; Volume 1st tercile
  2. * significant at 5%; ** significant at 1%; Robust 95% confidence intervals in parentheses ***API = AIDS Program Effort Index; +Abbreviation of the ARV drugs: EFV = efavirenz; ZDV = zidovudine; 3TC = lamivudine; NVP = nevirapine; d4T = stadivudine; ++CHAI = Clinton Foundation HIV/AIDS initiative; +++PEPFAR = President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief.
  3. Data source: Global Price Reporting Mechanism 2005 to 2008