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Table 2 Risk factor levels at 1999 baseline and projections to 2010 for men and women aged 35–64 years*

From: The impact of demographic and risk factor changes on coronary heart disease deaths in Beijing, 1999–2010

Risk factors 1999 (baseline) 2010 (assuming current trends continue) 2010 (assuming 0.5% annual reductions)
  men women men women men women
Cholesterol (mmol/L) 5.3 5.3 5.8 5.9 5.0 5.0
Smoking (prevalence) 58.0% 8.9% 68.6% 4.8% 52.0% 4.8%
BMI (kg/m 2 ) 25.1 25.1 26.8 25.1 23.8 23.7
Diabetes (prevalence) 7.1% 7.2% 17.2% 14.4% 6.7% 6.8%
Diastolic blood pressure (mmHg) 85.9 80.9 86.3 81.7 81.2 76.5
  1. BMI indicates body mass index
  2. * Risk factor changes in the older population aged 65–74 years, where data was generally lacking, were conservatively assumed to rise at half the rate of the increases seen in younger age groups (data for this age group not shown in table).
  3. † Recent trends already represent an annual fall of approximately 0.5%.