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Table 4 Sensitivity, specificity, positive- and negative predicitive value (%) for detecting use of polypharmacy (4 or more regular prescription medicines) according to resource utilisation band (RUB).

From: Validating the Johns Hopkins ACG Case-Mix System of the elderly in Swedish primary health care

 

model A

model B

model C

model D

model E

Sensitivity

31.9

33.6

38.4

46.3

41.2

Specificity

88.5

89.2

89.8

90.1

90.2

Positive predicitive value

55.4

58.3

62.7

67.8

65.5

Negative predicitive value

74.4

75.0

76.5

78.9

77.4

Correctly classified

71.0

72.0

73.9

76.6

75.1

Area under ROC curve

0.72 (0.69–0.75)a

0.73 (0.70–0.76)

0.76 (0.73–0.79)

0.80 (0.77–0.82)

0.77 (0.74–0.80)

Goodness-of-fit

0.90

0.39

0.64

0.31

0.01

  1. a 95% confidence interval
  2. model A: adjusted for age
  3. model B: adjusted for sex and age
  4. model C: adjusted for sex, age, level of education and IADL function
  5. model D: adjusted for sex, age, level of education, IADL function, SCB and Ware
  6. model E: model D excluding RUB