Figure 4
From: A large-scale immuno-epidemiological simulation of influenza A epidemics
Variability of host-level model responses along principal directions of the ensemble. (a) d 1 and (b) d 2 (Equations 7 and 8). Black represents the best fit baseline set, red and magenta colored curves represent positive scalar values, and blue and cyan curves represent negative scalar values. Curves are evaluated from a random sub-sample of 500 parameter sets in our posterior distribution. The dark center line of each trajectory is the median, with the 16-85’th percentiles shaded (representing the 69% center values).