Figure 1

The U@Uni long-term cost-effectiveness model - a two states Markov model. p(dead|alive) = probability of dying if alive = a function of age, gender, fruit and vegetable consumption, alcohol consumption, physical activity and smoking status. p(alive|alive) = probability of staying alive if alive = 1 - p(dead|alive). p(dead|dead) = probability of staying dead if dead = 1.