Table 3 Incidence predicted and 95% confidence predicted interval (CI) by year for models in Table 1
Year | Incidence Observed | Incidence predicted by model glm.nb1 | Incidence predicted by model gam1 | Incidence predicted by gam2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
2008 | 1.68 | 1.94 (1.69-2.39) | 1.88 (1.64-2.15) | 1.76 (1.62-1.90) |
2009 | 1.63 | 1.94 (1.66-2.26) | 1.79 (1.56-2.05) | 1.54 (1.41-1.67) |