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Table 2 Correlations of changes of possible determinants with changes in Under-five mortality in Uganda by region 1995-2000

From: Why the increase in under five mortality in Uganda from 1995 to 2000? A retrospective analysis

Determinant/Region

Rate or proportion in 1995

Rate or proportion in 2000

Effect of change on U5MR

Pearson correlation coefficient (r) and (p-value)

Percent of population living below poverty line

Central

46

28

Decrease

 

Eastern

63

58

Decrease

 

Northern

73.4

57.4

Decrease

 

Western

49.2

34.2

Decrease

-0.51 (0.49)

Uganda

56

38

Decrease

 

Percent of urban population

Central

35.1

36

Decrease

 

Eastern

9.3

10.3

Decrease

 

Northern

7.0

6.7

Increase

 

Western

5.4

4.7

Increase

-0.88 (0.12)

Uganda

14.9

16.7

Decrease

 

Percent of women who have never attended school

Central

20.5

19.4

Decrease

 

Eastern

34.9

23.3

Decrease

 

Northern

52.0

39.4

Decrease

 

Western

39.2

30.9

Decrease

0.22 (0.78)

Uganda

35.6

26.5

Decrease

 

Percent of children malnourished (< 2SD weight for height)

Central

3.5

3.6

Increase

 

Eastern

6.6

4.3

Decrease

 

Northern

4.2

3.8

Decrease

 

Western

4.1

4.3

Increase

0.71 (0.29)

Uganda

5.3

4.0

Decrease

 

Percent of children > 9 months who received measles immunisation

Central

65.8

50.9

Increase

 

Eastern

48

53.1

Decrease

 

Northern

51.5

57.9

Decrease

 

Western

72

66.9

Increase

-0.38 (0.62)

Uganda

59.6

56.8

Decrease

 

Percent of pregnant women who delivered under medical supervision

Central

59.9

58.8

Increase

 

Eastern

41.3

40.2

Increase

 

Northern

22.6

26.8

Decrease

 

Western

24.1

23.1

Increase

-0.33 (0.67)

Uganda

37.8

38.2

Decrease

 

Percent of children with cough and rapid breathing in previous 2 weeks

Central

21.4

19.4

Decrease

 

Eastern

23.0

23.3

Increase

 

Northern

30.8

23.1

Decrease

 

Western

33.7

24.6

Decrease

-0.70 (0.30)

Uganda

27.1

22.5

Decrease

 

Percent of children with reported fever in previous 2 weeks

Central

39.3

37.9

Decrease

 

Eastern

58.8

54.1

Decrease

 

Northern

58.2

50.4

Decrease

 

Western

32.6

33.8

Increase

0.90 (0.10)

Uganda

46.3

43.9

Decrease

 

Percent of children with diarrhoea in previous 2 weeks

Central

16.3

14.5

Decrease

 

Eastern

26.2

23.3

Decrease

 

Northern

34.3

26.7

Decrease

 

Western

20.0

16 0

Decrease

-0.56 (0.44)

Uganda

23.5

19.6

Decrease

 

Median number of months since previous birth for mothers

Central

28.7

28.7

No change

 

Eastern

28.6

28.3

Decrease

 

Northern

31.8

31.8

No change

 

Western

29.3

29.4

Increase

0.71 (0.29)

Uganda

29.3

29.2

Decrease

 

Adolescent pregnancy (percent of mothers who began child bearing at 15-19 years)

Central

42.7

31.2

Decrease

 

Eastern

51.1

36.5

Decrease

 

Northern

41.4

34.3

Decrease

 

Western

37.2

24.3

Decrease

-0.63 (0.37)

Uganda

42.9

31.4

Decrease

 

Percent of women who received anti-malarial during Antenatal care (ANC)

Central

34.9

39.7

Decrease

 

Eastern

39.4

39.2

Decrease

 

Northern

31.4

30.4

Decrease

 

Western

23.4

23.0

Increase

-0.17 (0.83)

Uganda

34.6

33.8

Decrease

 

Percent of pregnant women attending ANC who are HIV positive

Central

20.2

10.7

Decrease

 

Eastern

12.5

4.7

Decrease

 

Northern

16.3

11.3

Decrease

 

Western

16.6

10.0

Decrease

0.42 (0.58)

Uganda

15.6

7.5

Decrease

 
  1. Correlations are for changes in four regions (Central, Eastern, Northern, and Western) but not Uganda.