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Table 3 Sensitivity of discontinuous weekend-extension strategies to compliance levels

From: Agent-based simulation for weekend-extension strategies to mitigate influenza outbreaks

Effectiveness

R 0 = 1.4

R 0 = 2.0

Compliance

Overall attack rates % (95%CIa)

Relative effectivenessb

Overall attack rates % (95%CI)

Relative effectiveness

Baseline

18.61 (18.54, 18.71)

0.00

26.43 (26.36, 26.53)

0.00

Wed

100%

16.53 (16.42, 16.64)

0.11

25.67 (25.58, 25.75)

0.03

 

90%

16.76 (16.60, 16.90)

0.10

25.73 (25.67, 25.79)

0.03

 

75%

17.10 (16.98, 17.21)

0.08

25.86 (25.77, 25.95)

0.02

 

50%

17.70 (17.54, 17.87)

0.05

26.08 (26.01, 26.14)

0.01

Tue+Thur

100%

14.43 (14.30, 14.58)

0.22

24.77 (24.68, 24.84)

0.06

 

90%

15.00 (14.87, 15.16)

0.19

24.93 (24.83, 25.00)

0.06

 

75%

15.73 (15.63, 15.83)

0.15

25.23 (25.17, 25.29)

0.05

 

50%

16.90 (16.79, 17.02)

0.09

25.70 (25.62, 25.77)

0.03

Mon+Wed+

100%

5.49 (1.59, 6.88)

0.69

21.41 (21.27, 21.52)

0.19

Fri

90%

9.23 (8.11, 9.80)

0.50

22.07 (21.95, 22.23)

0.16

 

75%

11.92 (11.64, 12.27)

0.36

23.00 (22.81, 23.11)

0.13

 

50%

14.95 (14.72, 15.28)

0.20

24.42 (24.32, 24.56)

0.08

  1. a95%CI stands for the 95% confidence intervals from 50 model realizations.
  2. bRelative effectiveness = (Baseline attack rate -Strategy-specific attack rate)/Baseline attack rate.
  3. Table 3 compares the overall attack rates and relative effectiveness resulted from three discontinuous weekend-extension strategies (Wed, Tue+Thur, and Mon+Wed+Fri). Sensitivity analysis was conducted on each strategy under five compliance levels of 0%, 50%, 75%, 90%, and 100%.
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BMC Public Health

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