Figure 4

Projected trends in proportion of home deaths, hospital deaths and care home deaths (2008-2040), based on 2 scenarios. Age- and sex-specific mortality projections of the Belgian National Planning Bureau were used to perform linear projections of numbers of deaths from 2008 to 2040 in all care settings starting from the age- and sex-specific proportions of deaths in the different care settings in the period 1998-2007. Two scenarios were considered. In scenario 1 (S1) future trends in place of death were projected starting from the age- and sex- specific distribution of place of death in 2007. In scenario 2 (S2) the projection was based on the age- and sex-specific percentage point change in place of death from 1998 to 2007.