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Table 6 Multinomial logistic regression: 1 year follow-up

From: Exploring predictors of welfare dependency 1, 3, and 5 years after mental health-related absence in danish municipalities between 2010 and 2012 using flexible machine learning modelling

Outcome (Ref.: Not benefit recipient)

Health benefit recipient

Recipient of other benefits

 

OR

95% CI

P -value

OR

95% CI

P -value

(Intercept)

0.1

[0.07; 0.14]

 < 0.01

0.11

[0.08; 0.14]

 < 0.01

Job skill level (Ref.: Basic)

 Highest

0.87

[0.71; 1.06]

0.17

0.92

[0.76; 1.1]

0.35

 Medium

0.89

[0.77; 1.04]

0.14

0.9

[0.79; 1.04]

0.15

 Few or no

0.94

[0.77; 1.14]

0.51

1.09

[0.91; 1.3]

0.34

 Unstated

0.93

[0.75; 1.15]

0.5

1.02

[0.83; 1.24]

0.88

Industry (Ref.: Human health and social work activities)

 Accommodation and food service activities

0.91

[0.64; 1.28]

0.59

0.99

[0.72; 1.36]

0.95

 Agriculture

1.19

[0.7; 2.03]

0.53

0.86

[0.5; 1.49]

0.59

 Construction

0.9

[0.7; 1.16]

0.43

0.88

[0.69; 1.12]

0.3

 Courts and prisons, Police, Fire Departments

0.8

[0.45; 1.4]

0.43

0.97

[0.58; 1.61]

0.9

 Education

1.05

[0.82; 1.34]

0.71

0.98

[0.78; 1.24]

0.86

 Manufacturing, mining and quarrying

1.08

[0.88; 1.34]

0.46

0.96

[0.78; 1.18]

0.69

 Other branches

0.95

[0.8; 1.12]

0.53

1.06

[0.91; 1.23]

0.47

 Public administration

0.92

[0.66; 1.29]

0.62

1.19

[0.89; 1.6]

0.25

 Transporting and storage

0.97

[0.75; 1.26]

0.83

1.02

[0.8; 1.3]

0.89

 Unstated

1.15

[0.52; 2.58]

0.73

1.24

[0.59; 2.63]

0.57

 Wholesale and retail trade, repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles

1.06

[0.88; 1.29]

0.52

1.08

[0.9; 1.3]

0.39

Age groups (Ref.: 20–29)

 30–39

1.27

[1.07; 1.51]

0.01

1.09

[0.93; 1.27]

0.27

 40–49

1.47

[1.24; 1.75]

 < 0.01

1.25

[1.07; 1.46]

0.01

 50–54

2.22

[1.8; 2.73]

 < 0.01

1.3

[1.06; 1.59]

0.01

Women (Ref.: Men)

1.06

[0.93; 1.21]

0.37

1.14

[1.01; 1.29]

0.03

Not Danish Citizenship (Reference: Danish Citizenship)

1.18

[0.93; 1.5]

0.17

1.48

[1.19; 1.83]

 < 0.01

Family type (Reference: Couple with resident children)

 Couple without resident children

1.23

[1.04; 1.47]

0.02

1.08

[0.91; 1.27]

0.39

 Single with resident children

1.44

[1.21; 1.72]

 < 0.01

1.63

[1.4; 1.92]

 < 0.01

 Single without resident children

1.34

[1.16; 1.54]

 < 0.01

1.48

[1.3; 1.69]

 < 0.01

No unemployment insurance (Ref.: Insured)

1.11

[0.94; 1.32]

0.22

1.11

[0.95; 1.3]

0.2

Unemployed (Ref.: Employed)

1.96

[1.67; 2.31]

 < 0.01

1.75

[1.5; 2.03]

 < 0.01

Reason Sickness Absence (Ref.: Stress/Burnout)

 Depression

2

[1.75; 2.27]

 < 0.01

1.64

[1.45; 1.84]

 < 0.01

 Mental ill health without further specification

2.57

[2.14; 3.09]

 < 0.01

1.48

[1.23; 1.78]

 < 0.01

 Anxiety

2.14

[1.61; 2.83]

 < 0.01

1.48

[1.12; 1.95]

0.01

Number of weeks receiving health related benefits 2 years prior sickness absence event (Ref.: 0 weeks)

 1–26

1.43

[1.26; 1.62]

 < 0.01

1.34

[1.19; 1.51]

 < 0.01

 > 26

3.64

[3.01; 4.4]

 < 0.01

2.01

[1.65; 2.45]

 < 0.01

Number of weeks receiving other benefits 2 years prior sickness absence event (Ref.: 0 weeks)

 1–26

1.33

[1.14; 1.55]

 < 0.01

1.86

[1.62; 2.14]

 < 0.01

 > 26

2.06

[1.73; 2.46]

 < 0.01

3.2

[2.73; 3.76]

 < 0.01

Time passed between the first day of sickness absence and the baseline visit at the jobs and benefits office (Ref.: 0–30 days)

 31–60

0.85

[0.71; 1.03]

0.09

1.01

[0.84; 1.21]

0.94

 > 60

0.93

[0.76; 1.13]

0.45

1.22

[1.01; 1.48]

0.04

Participation in the Danish RTW program

 Intervention

1.05

[0.89; 1.24]

0.55

1.36

[1.16; 1.59]

 < 0.01

 Not eligible

0.73

[0.62; 0.84]

 < 0.01

0.74

[0.64; 0.86]

 < 0.01

Period: Before 2012 (Ref.: 2012)

1.02

[0.89; 1.18]

0.74

1.1

[0.97; 1.26]

0.14

  1. OR Odds Ratio, CI Confidence interval, N = 9.752