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Table 1 Vaccination speed (vaccinations per day beginning on January 15th, 2021) needed to avert different numbers of deaths in NYC over the period Dec 15th, 2020 to July 1st, 2021. For vaccines requiring multiple doses, the vaccination speeds reported are for the first dose only

From: How severe would prioritization-induced bottlenecks need to be offset the benefits from prioritizing COVID-19 vaccination to those most at risk in New York City?

Deaths averted

Without new variant

With new variant

No prioritization

Prioritization

No prioritization

Prioritization

2000

29,000

18,000

11,000

8,000

2500

50,000

31,000

15,000

10,000

3000

83,000

50,000

19,000

13,000

3500

163,000

81,000

27,000

16,000

4000

> 200,000

175,000

34,000

20,000

6000

> 200,000

> 200,000

61,000

40,000

8000

> 200,000

> 200,000

115,000

71,000