Table 2 Coefficient estimates from the endemic-epidemic model

 Intercept

0.1588

(0.0034, 7.4853)

–

 Density

0.8162

(0.5192, 1.2831)

0.379

 School holidays

0.4712

(0.2776, 0.7999)

< 0.001

 GDP

1.6331

(0.9146, 2.9160)

0.097

 number of health institutions

0.8328

(0.2562, 2.7073)

0.761

 number of kindergartens

1.0954

(0.4324, 2.7752)

0.848

 number of primary schools

0.7951

(0.3146, 2.0093)

0.628

 Intercept

0.0024

(0.0001, 2.5915)

–

 Density

1.1721

(0.6524, 2.1058)

0.595

 GDP

2.6898

(1.1516, 6.2822)

0.022

 Passenger-kilometers of highways

0.7528

(0.4971, 1.1400)

0.180

 Intercept

0.9965

(0.9929, 1.0001)

–

 School holidays

0.5299

(0.3883, 0.7233)

< 0.001

 number of kindergartens

2.1440

(0.6288, 7.3111)

0.223

 number of primary schools

0.4996

(0.1780, 1.4021)

0.188