Table 3 Annual percentage change in mortality rate from joinpoint analysis (sex-specific)
From: The temporal trend of cause-specific mortality: comparing Estonia and Lithuania, 2001 – 2019
Males | ||||
Time period | APC | 95% CI | p-value | |
All-cause mortality | ||||
Estonia | ||||
Segment 1 | 2001 – 2007 | -1.69 | [-3.54, 0.95] | P < .001 |
Segment 2 | 2007 – 2011 | -5.09 | [-3.51, -1.42] | P < .001 |
Segment 3 | 2011 – 2019 | -2.04 | [-2.27, -1.08] | P < .001 |
Total AAPC | -2.61 | [-2.90, -2.32] | P < .001 | |
Lithuania | ||||
Segment 1 | 2001 – 2007 | 0.84 | [0.11, 1.58] | P = .03 |
Segment 2 | 2007 – 2010 | -3.48 | [-5.75, -1.14] | P = .01 |
Segment 3 | 2010 – 2019 | -0.97 | [-2.38, 0.45] | P = .15 |
Segment 4 | 2016 – 2019 | -3.04 | [-5.37, -0.66] | P = .02 |
Total AAPC | -1.28 | [-1.97, -0.60] | P < .001 | |
Ischemic heart disease mortality | ||||
Estonia | ||||
Segment 1 | 2001 – 2008 | -4.78 | [-5.68, -3.88] | P < .001 |
Segment 2 | 2008 – 2019 | -7.26 | [-7.67, -6.83] | P < .001 |
Total AAPC | -6.30 | [-6.69, -5.90] | P < .001 | |
Lithuania | ||||
Segment 1 | 2001 – 2005 | -.32 | [-1.78, 1.16] | P = .64 |
Segment 2 | 2005 – 2016 | -1.85 | [-2.16, -1.55] | P < .001 |
Segment 3 | 2016 – 2019 | -5.12 | [-7.52, -2.67] | P < .001 |
Total AAPC | -2.07 | [-2.57, -1.57] | P < .001 | |
Females | ||||
Time period | APC | 95% CI | p-value | |
All-cause mortality | ||||
Estonia | ||||
Segment 1 | 2001 – 2003 | -1.03 | [-3.75, 1.76] | P = .41 |
Segment 2 | 2003 – 2008 | -3.30 | [-3.30, -4.01] | P < .001 |
Segment 3 | 2008 – 2011 | -4.84 | [-4.84, -7.42] | P < .001 |
Segment 4 | 2011 – 2019 | -1.64 | [-1.64, -1.87] | P = .003 |
Total AAPC | -2.58 | [-3.07, -2.08] | P < .001 | |
Lithuania | ||||
Segment 1 | 2001 – 2007 | -0.22 | [-1.08, 0.64] | P = .58 |
Segment 2 | 2007 – 2010 | -3.75 | [-9.93, 2.84] | P = .23 |
Segment 3 | 2010 – 2019 | -1.29 | [-2.49, 0.91] | P < .001 |
Total AAPC | -1.35 | [-2.37, -0.32] | P = .01 | |
Ischemic heart disease mortality | ||||
Estonia | ||||
Segment 1 | 2001 – 2009 | -5.33 | [-6.33, -4.32] | P < .001 |
Segment 2 | 2009 – 2019 | -8.33 | [-9.01, -7.65] | P < .001 |
Total AAPC | -7.01 | [-7.54, -6.47] | P < .001 | |
Lithuania | ||||
Segment 1 | 2001 – 2006 | -0.76 | [-2.28, 0.77] | P = .28 |
Segment 2 | 2006 – 2009 | -4.10 | [-12.80, 5.47] | P = .34 |
Segment 3 | 2009 – 2016 | -1.29 | [-2.38, -0.19] | P = .02 |
Segment 4 | 2016 – 2019 | -5.75 | [-9.42, -1.94] | P = .009 |
Total AAPC | -2.37 | [-3.87, -0.85] | P = .002 | |