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Table 3 Comparison of the performance of the ARIMA and ARIMA-ERNN models

From: ARIMA and ARIMA-ERNN models for prediction of pertussis incidence in mainland China from 2004 to 2021

Model

Fitting performance

Prediction performance

MAE

MSE

MAPE (%)

MAE

MSE

MAPE (%)

ARIMA

0.004222

0.000037143

21.06%

0.024864

0.001069

15.68%

ARIMA-ERNN

0.000784

0.000001498

4.03%

0.015479

0.000461

8.82%