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Table 3 Multivariable analysis of risk factors for overweight and obesity based on Bayesian age-period-cohort model

From: Past, present, and future trends of overweight and obesity in Belgium using Bayesian age-period-cohort models

 

Overweight

Obesity

Odds ratio

95% Credible interval

Odds ratio

95% Credible interval

 

lower

upper

 

lower

upper

Fixed effects

 Intercept

0.783

0.747

0.819

0.124

0.119

0.129

 Sex

  Man (Ref.)

      

  Woman

0.545

0.545

0.546

0.966

0.964

0.968

 Urbanisation level

  Urban (Ref.)

      

  Suburban

1.023

1.021

1.025

0.992

0.989

0.994

  Urbanized municipality

1.049

1.048

1.051

1.005

1.003

1.007

  Rural

1.095

1.092

1.097

1.038

1.035

1.041

 Education level

  No diploma /primary education (Ref.)

      

  Lower secondary

0.997

0.995

0.999

0.934

0.932

0.937

  Higher secondary

0.918

0.916

0.920

0.744

0.742

0.746

  Superior education

0.665

0.664

0.666

0.491

0.489

0.492

 Income level

  Quintile 1 (Ref.)

      

  Quintile 2

1.166

1.164

1.168

1.123

1.120

1.126

  Quintile 3

1.092

1.090

1.094

1.138

1.135

1.141

  Quintile 4

1.087

1.085

1.089

0.951

0.948

0.954

  Quintile 5

0.922

0.920

0.923

0.834

0.832

0.837

 Nationality

  Belgian (Ref.)

      

  EU

1.064

1.061

1.067

1.023

1.019

1.027

  Non-EU

1.142

1.138

1.146

0.969

0.964

0.974

Random effects (with RW2-specification)

 Age

  18–25 (ref.)

      

  26–30

2.175

2.172

2.179

2.270

2.264

2.276

  31–35

2.383

2.376

2.390

2.329

2.319

2.339

  36–40

2.825

2.814

2.837

3.109

3.090

3.129

  41–45

3.387

3.369

3.405

3.851

3.820

3.883

  46–50

3.505

3.483

3.528

3.158

3.128

3.188

  51–55

3.691

3.664

3.717

3.695

3.655

3.736

  56–60

4.055

4.025

4.086

3.769

3.726

3.813

  61–65

3.452

3.426

3.478

2.846

2.814

2.879

  66–70

3.494

3.470

3.518

2.627

2.599

2.656

  71–75

2.868

2.850

2.885

1.996

1.977

2.014

  76–80

2.530

2.518

2.543

1.580

1.569

1.593

  81–85

1.642

1.636

1.648

0.948

0.943

0.953

  86–90

1.246

1.244

1.248

0.585

0.584

0.586

  91–95

0.818

0.816

0.820

0.442

0.439

0.444

  95+

0.410

0.401

0.419

0.492

0.477

0.506

 Period

  1997 (Ref.)

      

  2001

1.107

1.106

1.108

1.147

1.145

1.148

  2004

1.107

1.106

1.109

1.249

1.246

1.252

  2008

1.351

1.349

1.354

1.560

1.556

1.564

  2013

1.576

1.574

1.577

1.779

1.776

1.781

  2018

1.775

1.774

1.775

2.378

2.377

2.379

 Cohort (Birth year)

  (1895, 1900] (Ref.)

      

  (1900, 1905]

5.390

3.000

18.549

2.822

1.891

5.880

  (1905, 1910]

29.512

15.812

105.989

8.220

5.126

18.627

  (1910, 1915]

19.936

10.650

71.827

8.039

4.949

18.475

  (1915, 1920]

30.645

16.360

110.494

10.393

6.379

23.958

  (1920, 1925]

28.771

15.353

103.782

10.016

6.140

23.121

  (1925, 1930]

33.093

17.656

119.400

9.760

5.980

22.543

  (1930, 1935]

29.198

15.575

105.364

7.680

4.704

17.747

  (1935, 1940]

28.567

15.237

103.098

7.511

4.599

17.360

  (1940, 1945]

25.543

13.623

92.190

7.566

4.632

17.493

  (1945, 1950]

24.069

12.836

86.872

6.350

3.887

14.682

  (1950, 1955]

20.019

10.677

72.253

5.666

3.469

13.100

  (1955, 1960]

17.680

9.430

63.807

4.034

2.470

9.325

  (1960, 1965]

16.753

8.936

60.458

4.187

2.564

9.677

  (1965, 1970]

17.136

9.142

61.829

4.043

2.477

9.340

  (1970, 1975]

15.777

8.418

56.915

3.908

2.395

9.022

  (1975, 1980]

15.049

8.032

54.278

3.510

2.153

8.100

  (1980, 1985]

14.115

7.535

50.894

3.759

2.306

8.667

  (1985, 1990]

13.220

7.059

47.652

3.560

2.186

8.202

  (1990, 1995]

12.013

6.417

43.284

2.592

1.594

5.964

  (1995, 2000]

13.514

7.222

48.669

3.116

1.918

7.161

  1. Ref. reference