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Table 6 Person-time analysis and survey-weighted Cox-regression of age at sexual debut by selected covariates in KAIS 2007, KAIS 2012 and KENPHIA 2018

From: Methods for conducting trends analysis: roadmap for comparing outcomes from three national HIV Population-based household surveys in Kenya (2007, 2012, and 2018)

Variable

Person-time analysis

Survey-weighted Cox-regression

 

Event

Person-time

Rate (95% CI)

HR (95% CI)

p-value

AHR (95% CI)

p-value

Year

 2007

1080

92,901

11.63(10.95–12.34)

1.00 (Reference)

 

1.00 (Reference)

 

 2012

793

75,892

10.45(9.75–11.2)

0.97(0.86–1.09)

0.5837

1.01(0.85–1.19)

0.9431

 2018

1376

143,682

9.58(9.08–10.1)

0.8(0.71–0.89)

 < 0.001

0.87(0.63–1.18)

0.3629

Cohort

 1975–1979

189

16,789

11.26(9.76–12.98)

1.00 (Reference)

 

1.00 (Reference)

 

 1980–1984

737

59,137

12.46(11.59–13.4)

1.22(0.99–1.5)

0.0574

1.27(1.01–1.59)

0.0408

 1984–1989

824

80,902

10.19(9.51–10.9)

1.01(0.83–1.23)

0.8936

1.12(0.85–1.48)

0.4113

 1990–1994

922

96,884

9.52(8.92–10.15)

0.88(0.69–1.11)

0.2693

1.07(0.73–1.55)

0.7431

 1995–1999

577

58,763

9.82(9.05–10.65)

0.87(0.71–1.07)

0.1979

1.32(0.81–2.15)

0.2625

Age

 20–24

1638

161,535

10.14(9.66–10.64)

1.00 (Reference)

 

1.00 (Reference)

 

 25–29

1611

150,940

10.67(10.16–11.21)

1.17(1.05–1.31)

0.0047

0.96(0.81–1.13)

0.6292

Sex

 Male

1425

119,908

11.88(11.28–12.52)

1.00 (Reference)

 

1.00 (Reference)

 

 Female

1824

192,567

9.47(9.05–9.92)

1.05(0.92–1.2)

0.5055

0.76(0.67–0.86)

 < .0001

Residence

 Urban

1170

133,603

8.76(8.27–9.27)

1.00 (Reference)

 

1.00 (Reference)

 

 Rural

2079

178,872

11.62(11.13–12.13)

1.31(1.13–1.5)

 < 0.001

0.99(0.81–1.21)

0.8922

Education

 No education

472

23,989

19.68(17.98–21.53)

1.00 (Reference)

 

1.00 (Reference)

 

 Primary

1720

136,383

12.61(12.03–13.22)

0.45(0.37–0.54)

 < 0.001

0.47(0.4–0.56)

 < .0001

 Secondary + 

1057

152,085

6.95(6.54–7.38)

0.27(0.21–0.33)

 < 0.001

0.32(0.26–0.4)

 < .0001

Marital status

 Never married

977

127,821

7.64(7.18–8.14)

1.00 (Reference)

 

1.00 (Reference)

 

 Married/Living together

128

9459

13.53(11.38–16.09)

1.72(1.49–1.98)

 < 0.001

1.57(1.37–1.8)

 < .0001

 Separated/Divorced/Widowed

2018

164,493

12.27(11.74–12.82)

1.94(1.5–2.49)

 < 0.001

1.78(1.37–2.32)

 < .0001

Wealth

 Poorest

908

58,409

15.55(14.57–16.59)

1.00 (Reference)

 

1.00 (Reference)

 

 Poorer

620

52,995

11.7(10.81–12.66)

0.76(0.62–0.94)

0.0115

0.91(0.76–1.08)

0.2772

 Middle

598

55,856

10.71(9.88–11.6)

0.8(0.65–0.99)

0.0441

1.01(0.84–1.22)

0.919

 Richer

566

65,946

8.58(7.9–9.32)

0.57(0.46–0.71)

 < 0.001

0.75(0.61–0.93)

0.009

 Richest

557

79,269

7.03(6.47–7.64)

0.55(0.44–0.68)

 < 0.001

0.82(0.63–1.06)

0.1309

  1. Abbreviations: HR Hazard rate, AHR Adjusted Hazard rate, CI Confidence Interval, KAIS Kenya AIDS Indicator survey, KENPHIA Kenya Population-based HIV Impact Assessment