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Table 7 Performance of risk score of Model II based on the validation dataset from the 2010, 2011–2012, and 2012–2013 prevention of mother-to-child transmission surveys, South Africa. (n = 2110, AUROC = 0.72)

From: A risk measurement tool for targeted HIV prevention measures amongst young pregnant and lactating women in South Africa

Cut point

Sensitivity

Specificity

Non-cumulative proportion of women at each cut point (%)

(> = 0)

100.00%

0.00%

0.28

(> = 4)

100.00%

0.26%

0.09

(> = 8)

100.00%

0.36%

0.38

(> = 9)

100.00%

0.77%

0.09

(> = 10)

100.00%

0.88%

0.57

(> = 12)

100.00%

1.49%

1.75

(> = 13)

98.81%

3.30%

0.28

(> = 14)

98.81%

3.61%

0.28

(> = 16)

98.81%

3.92%

1.00

(> = 17)

98.21%

4.95%

0.24

(> = 18)

98.21%

5.20%

1.61

(> = 19)

98.21%

6.96%

1.18

(> = 20)

98.21%

8.24%

1.80

(> = 21)

97.62%

10.15%

3.03

(> = 22)

97.62%

13.45%

8.20

(> = 23)

95.24%

22.15%

0.81

(> = 24)

95.24%

23.03%

0.95

(> = 25)

94.64%

24.01%

2.56

(> = 26)

94.05%

26.74%

3.27

(> = 27)

92.86%

30.19%

1.80

(> = 28)

91.07%

31.99%

0.33

(> = 29)

91.07%

32.35%

2.89

(> = 30)

90.48%

35.45%

9.19

(> = 31)

85.71%

45.03%

12.37

(> = 32)

77.98%

57.81%

0.19

(> = 33)

77.98%

58.01%

1.85

(> = 34)

76.19%

59.87%

3.46

(> = 35)

72.02%

63.27%

11.80

(> = 37)

53.57%

74.50%

0.71

(> = 38)

52.38%

75.17%

1.52

(> = 39)

50.00%

76.61%

12.27

(> = 41)

31.55%

88.36%

0.28

(> = 42)

29.76%

88.51%

0.28

(> = 43)

28.57%

88.72%

8.72

(> = 45)

9.52%

96.55%

0.09

(> = 47)

9.52%

96.65%

2.84

(> = 51)

2.98%

99.18%

0.71

(> = 55)

1.19%

99.79%

0.28

(> 55)

0.00%

100.00%