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Table 5 Summary of the discriminatory ability of the three models from the 2010, 2011–2012, and 2012–2013 prevention of mother-to-child transmission surveys, South Africa

From: A risk measurement tool for targeted HIV prevention measures amongst young pregnant and lactating women in South Africa

 

Development Data Set

Validation Data Set

Discriminatory ability of risk model

Overall discriminatory ability based on 5 random samples

Discriminatory ability of risk model

Overall discriminatory ability based on 5 random samples

AUROC

(95% CI)

Mean AUROC

AUROC

(95% CI)

Mean AUROC

Model I

0.73 (0.70–0.76)

0.72

0.69 (0.65–0.73)

0.71

Model II

0.71 (0.68–0.74)

0.70

0.72 (0.68–0.75)

0.70

Model III

0.69 (0.68–0.71)

0.66

0.63 (0.60–0.65)

0.67

  1. CI Confidence interval