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Fig. 2 | BMC Public Health

Fig. 2

From: Mathematical modelling of vaccination rollout and NPIs lifting on COVID-19 transmission with VOC: a case study in Toronto, Canada

Fig. 2

Percentage change of cumulative cases and deaths with respect to the baseline no reopening in SI Figure SI3 with partial reopening in September, when age groups 60–79 and 80 + reach coverages 80%, 90% by June 14. Cases and deaths are reported comparing different coverages for age group 10–19 years, assuming 40–59 years fixed at 70% coverage and comparing different coverages for age group 40–59 years, assuming 10–19 years fixed at 20% coverage. The second dose is given at a rate of 1/112 days.−1. We observe that the highest increase occurs when the sub-populations’ coverage is the minimum level considered. Moreover, keeping adults aged between 50–69 years at 70% and increase the coverages of teenagers does not provide significant reduction in cases nor deaths. On the other hand, the smallest increase is provided by the highest coverage in the two adults age groups

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