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Table 1 Parameter estimation and model validation of the ARIMA model

From: Spatio-temporal evolution and trend prediction of the incidence of Class B notifiable infectious diseases in China: a sample of statistical data from 2007 to 2020

Models

Fitted Model Statistics

Ljung-Box Q(18)

Stationary R2

MAPE

BIC

Statistics

Sig.

ARIMA(0,1,1)

0.47

2.358

4.831

14.469

0.481

ARIMA(0,1,2)

0.219

3.427

5.983

21.53

0.198

ARIMA(1,1,1)

0.543

2.169

4.631

15.472

0.378

ARIMA(1,1,0)

0.453

2.523

4.934

17.571

0.329

ARIMA(2,1,1)

0.273

2.743

5.778

20.678

0.217

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BMC Public Health

ISSN: 1471-2458

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