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Table 3 Incidence of out-migration among resident adults from a rural South African cohort study (N = 69 604)

From: Predictors of migration in an HIV hyper-endemic rural South African community: evidence from a population-based cohort (2005–2017)

 

No. of events

Person-years at risk

Incidence rate (per 100 person-yrs)

95% CI

Age category:

15-19y

11 676

89 098

13.10

12.87 – 13.34

20-24y

15 810

69 852

22.63

22.28 – 22.99

25-29y

8 874

50 003

17.75

17.38 – 18.12

30-34y

4 374

37 177

11.77

11.42 – 12.12

35-39y

2 404

29 039

8.28

7.95 – 8.62

40y + 

4 634

147 869

3.13

3.04 – 3.23

Sex:

Male

22 782

172 205

13.23

13.06 – 13.40

Female

24 990

250 833

9.96

9.84 – 10.09

Educational attainment:

None

5 264

77 896

6.76

6.58 – 6.94

Primary <  = 7y

2 932

50 814

5.77

5.56 – 5.98

Secondary 8-12y

30 005

206 080

14.56

14.40 – 14.73

Tertiary > 12y

2 025

19 776

10.24

9.80 – 10.70

Unknown education status

7 546

68 472

11.02

10.77 – 11.27

Marital status:

Single

36 991

257 152

14.38

14.24 – 14.53

Married

1 668

64 432

2.59

2.47 – 2.72

Divorced/Separated

624

39 871

1.57

1.45—1.69

Unknown marital status

8489

61 672

13.76

13.47 – 14.06

HIV status:

HIV-

6 446

155 589

4.14

4.04 – 4.25

HIV + 

4 865

54 879

8.86

8.62 – 9.12

HIV status unknown

36 461

212 570

17.15

16.98 – 17.33

  1. ART (Antiretroviral Therapy) HIV- (HIV Negative) HIV + (HIV positive) CI (Confidence Intervals)