Table 1 Simulation results for an average duration of incarceration of 25 days. Base annual COVID-19 incidence, annual incidence averted/1000, and annual DALYs saved/1000 peoplea
From: Inclusive health: modeling COVID-19 in correctional facilities and communities
|  | N = 5000 | N = 10000 | N = 20000 |
|---|---|---|---|
No intervention (θp = 0.0 θC) | |||
 Baseline annual incidence (1000s) | 2.21 | 3.19 | 5.18 |
 Baseline annual incidence for community members (1000’s) | 0.66 | 1.16 | 3.36 |
 Baseline annual incidence for incarcerated people (1000’s) | 1.56 | 2.02 | 1.82 |
 Baseline total DALYs per 1000 people | 2.25 | 2.69 | 5.87 |
 Baseline hospitalizations per 1000 people | 0.1 | 0.14 | 0.2 |
 Baseline deaths per 1000 people | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.06 |
50% quarantine rate (θP = 0.5 θC) | |||
 Annual incidence averted (1000’s) | |||
  Total population | 0.85 | 1.40 | 1.75 |
  Community | 0.15 | 0.40 | 0.85 |
  Incarcerated population | 0.70 | 1.00 | 0.90 |
  Total DALYs saved per 1000 people | 0.83 | 1.14 | 4.77 |
  Hospitalizations averted per 1000 people | 0.04 | 0.07 | 0.08 |
  Deaths averted per 1000 people | 0.012 | 0.02 | 0.03 |
100% quarantine rate (θP = 1.0θC) | |||
 Annual incidence averted (1000’s) | |||
  Total population | 1.36 | 2.19 | 2.64 |
  Community | 0.29 | 0.61 | 1.30 |
  Incarcerated population | 1.07 | 1.59 | 1.35 |
  Total DALYs saved per 1000 people | 1.54 | 1.65 | 2.01 |
  Hospitalizations averted per 1000 people | 0.07 | 0.11 | 0.12 |
  Deaths averted per 1000 people | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.04 |