Fig. 3
Reported and Projected COVID-19 Diagnoses, New York City, June 21 – September 26, 2020. Reported cases as of September 26 (zt) are indicated by gray-colored datapoints. Projected cases (ζt), based up the estimated distribution (\(\hat{\alpha}\)) of reporting delays, are shown for the pink datapoints from September 5–26. The arrow at the upper right points to a projection of 524 cases for September 21, based upon 456 cases reported as of September 26 (Fig. 1) and our estimate (\({\Omega}_t\left(\hat{\alpha}\right)\)) that 87.0% of cases had been reported by that date