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Fig. 1 | BMC Public Health

Fig. 1

From: Future trends of life expectancy by education in the Netherlands

Fig. 1

The top left (right) panel displays the development over time of the aggregate log mortality of men (women) in the HMD population with all educational levels combined. The middle panels (left for men and right for women) display the development over time of the difference between education-specific aggregate log mortality in the international population (INT-EDU) and aggregate log mortality in the HMD population with all educational levels combined. Red corresponds to the low education group, green to the mid education group, and blue to the high education group. A positive value implies that the educational group has higher mortality rates than the HMD population with all educational levels combined; a negative value implies that it has lower mortality rates. The bottom left (right) panel displays the development over time of the difference between education-specific aggregate log mortality rates in the Dutch population (NL-EDU) and education-specific aggregate log mortality rates in the international population (INT-EDU), for the three educational levels. A positive (negative) value for an educational group implies that the mortality rates of that educational group in the Dutch population (NL-EDU) are higher (lower) than the mortality rates of the same educational group in the international population (INT-EDU). In all six panels, the dots represent observed values, the solid lines represent the fitted values in our Li and Lee model, the pink stars represent extrapolated or interpolated values, and the dashed-dotted lines represent best-estimate model forecasts. In terms of the Eqs. (11) and (12) in Appendix 2, the top panels correspond to the variables Zt1,g in the first layer, the middle panels correspond to the variables Zt2,g,e in the second layer, and the bottom panels correspond to the variables Zt3,g,e,NL in the third layer

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