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Table 4 Estimated DALY burden for Doherty model scenarios, Total Burden One (permanent disability including diabetes)

From: Modelling the potential acute and post-acute burden of COVID-19 under the Australian border re-opening plan

DALY Burden Estimates – Total Burden One

 

Estimated DALY loss for each health state

Share of DALY loss for each health state

Doherty Scenario

2C

2D

3B

3C

2020 Actual

2C

2D

3B

3C

2020 Actual

Deaths (no)

1524

948

6402

6719

909

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

COVID cases (no)

246,399

156,799

914,357

968,154

28,696

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

Mortality (YLL)

15,912

9898

66,844

70,154

7263

32.4%

32.2%

36.1%

35.5%

58.3%

Non-fatal YLD:

 Acute

558

353

2069

2213

69

1.1%

1.2%

1.1%

1.1%

0.5%

 Long COVID (ONS)

4665

2981

17,467

18,432

565

9.5%

9.7%

9.4%

9.3%

4.5%

 PICS

779

462

3578

4198

958

1.6%

1.5%

1.9%

2.1%

7.7%

 Permanent

27,131

17,009

95,215

102,537

3611

55.3%

55.4%

51.4%

51.9%

29.0%

 Total non-fatal YLD

33,134

20,807

118,329

127,380

5203

67.6%

67.8%

63.9%

64.5%

41.7%

 Total DALYs (fatal and non-fatal)

49,046

30,705

185,174

197,534

12,467

100.0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

  1. Notes: no Number, YLL Years of life lost, YLD Years lived with disability, DALYS Disability adjusted life years, Long COVID ONS result using ONS data points, PICS Post-Intensive care syndrome and Permanent = Permanent functional impairment, Total burden one = overall burden including all the permanent disability, results are referring to the combined mean burden of both vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals, n/a Not applicable