DALY Burden Estimates – Total Burden One | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | Estimated DALY loss for each health state | Share of DALY loss for each health state | ||||||||
Doherty Scenario | 2C | 2D | 3B | 3C | 2020 Actual | 2C | 2D | 3B | 3C | 2020 Actual |
Deaths (no) | 1524 | 948 | 6402 | 6719 | 909 | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a |
COVID cases (no) | 246,399 | 156,799 | 914,357 | 968,154 | 28,696 | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a |
Mortality (YLL) | 15,912 | 9898 | 66,844 | 70,154 | 7263 | 32.4% | 32.2% | 36.1% | 35.5% | 58.3% |
Non-fatal YLD: | ||||||||||
 Acute | 558 | 353 | 2069 | 2213 | 69 | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
 Long COVID (ONS) | 4665 | 2981 | 17,467 | 18,432 | 565 | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 4.5% |
 PICS | 779 | 462 | 3578 | 4198 | 958 | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 7.7% |
 Permanent | 27,131 | 17,009 | 95,215 | 102,537 | 3611 | 55.3% | 55.4% | 51.4% | 51.9% | 29.0% |
 Total non-fatal YLD | 33,134 | 20,807 | 118,329 | 127,380 | 5203 | 67.6% | 67.8% | 63.9% | 64.5% | 41.7% |
 Total DALYs (fatal and non-fatal) | 49,046 | 30,705 | 185,174 | 197,534 | 12,467 | 100.0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |