Table 2 Summary of observed and predicted-P1+P2 case counts over the first wave, nationally and by geography
Observed, test- confirmed cases (up to week starting 2020-06-17) | Predicted (median [98% CrI]) | Percentage difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
England total | 231,817 | 335,083 [275,482 - 418,847] | 44.5 [18.8–80.7] |
London Borough | 33,399 | 43,664 [35,881 - 51,337] | 30.7 [7.4–53.7] |
Metropolitan District | 64,007 | 109,717 [95,734 - 129,216] | 71.4 [49.6–101.9] |
Non-metropolitan District | 79,441 | 97,786 [78,764 - 122,095] | 23.1 [−0.9–53.7] |
Unitary Authority | 54,970 | 83,723 [67,673 - 110,968] | 52.3 [23.1–101.9] |