The local burden of disease during the first wave of the COVID-19 epidemic in England: estimation using different data sources from changing surveillance practices

Table 1 Overall model comparison by WAIC and log score

Model	WAIC	Log score	Diff WAIC	Diff log score
B + BYM spatial	24,750	2.601	–	–
B + IID spatial	24,801	2.606	51	0.005
A + BYM spatial	25,602	2.690	851	0.089
A + IID spatial	25,665	2.697	914	0.096
Geog-specific temporal (B)	26,344	2.768	1593	0.167
Temporal only (A)	26,865	2.823	2115	0.222

ISSN: 1471-2458