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Fig. 6 | BMC Public Health

Fig. 6

From: The local burden of disease during the first wave of the COVID-19 epidemic in England: estimation using different data sources from changing surveillance practices

Fig. 6

Estimated percentage of total infections represented in observed case counts, per LTLA (panels A and B) and per week (panel C), between 2020 and 01-01 and 2020-06-17. LTLAs of Gloucester and Teignbridge stand out as having the highest percentage of detected infections, with estimates of over 96%. Panel B illustrates the same estimates in panel A but grouped by region, against the total observed incidence per 100,000. Total infections over the time period are estimated based on the predicted-P1+P2 cases and an assumed infection detection rate of 25% under expanded surveillance. All panels reflect median predictions over 1000 posterior samples, with panel C additionally showing 50–98% credible intervals

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BMC Public Health

ISSN: 1471-2458

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