Evaluating scenarios for school reopening under COVID19

BMC Public Health

Table 1 Outcome measures across scenarios without universal masking in schools

Reopening Date	Reopening Strategy	Cumulative Deaths	Cumulative Hosp.	Cumulative Infections		IAR %	Peak Infections		Peak Day
Reopening Date	Reopening Strategy	Cumulative Deaths	Cumulative Hosp.	Children & Youth	Adult		Children & Youth	Adult
-	Schools Closed	8894	71658	625238	1757331	22.06	4685	13553	21-Jul
1	Alternating School Day for Children	9032	73148	646753	1794362	22.61	4785	13699	24-Jul
2		9147	73281	643065	1789006	22.52	4682	13778	20-Jul
3		8976	72799	640933	1782047	22.44	4763	13725	27-Jul
4		8884	72243	636193	1773745	22.32	4633	13436	28-Jul
5		8983	72780	636659	1780587	22.39	4764	13728	23-Jul
6		9146	73085	638953	1787263	22.47	4775	13669	24-Jul
1	Alternating School Day	9458	76563	699242	1870620	23.80	4834	13861	24-Jul
2		9381	75569	685670	1850710	23.49	4731	13742	24-Jul
3		9255	75041	676364	1831377	23.22	4642	13627	26-Jul
4		9154	74134	667963	1818019	23.02	4681	13526	22-Jul
5		9211	74077	664232	1814629	22.96	4819	13773	24-Jul
6		9149	73483	656232	1800472	22.75	4650	13606	23-Jul
1	Children Only	9272	74227	668797	1818029	23.03	4718	13634	24-Jul
2		9226	74282	663668	1814065	22.95	4789	13726	24-Jul
3		9068	73680	656247	1797326	22.72	4749	13684	24-Jul
4		9195	73555	656817	1806753	22.81	4755	13819	24-Jul
5		8911	72094	639715	1762858	22.25	4587	13405	23-Jul
6		9149	73270	645458	1791968	22.57	4691	13814	21-Jul
1	Regular	9744	80263	778272	1962672	25.38	5721	12728	22-Aug
2		9799	79422	760373	1941517	25.02	4677	13731	26-Jul
3		9642	78414	745511	1924197	24.72	4713	13683	23-Jul
4		9531	77770	730702	1903714	24.40	4748	13994	22-Jul
5		9351	76124	711876	1871483	23.92	4838	13948	24-Jul
6		9296	74954	691499	1837665	23.42	4698	13704	23-Jul

Summary comparison of school reopening scenarios without universal masking in schools with respect to cumulative deaths and hospitalizations in the total population, cumulative infections in adults and children/youth, infection attack rate (IAR) in the total population, peak infections in adults and children/youth, and peak day in the total population. Numbers 1-6 correspond to dates Aug 10, Aug 17, Aug 24, Aug 31, Sept 7, and Sept 14, respectively

ISSN: 1471-2458