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Table 2 GM (1,1) model prediction results with R software

From: Epidemiological analysis of varicella in Dalian from 2009 to 2019 and application of three kinds of model in prediction prevalence of varicella

Year

Actual value (1/100000)

R software prediction value(1/100000)

2009

57.96

57.96

2010

55.78

46.30

2011

55.44

46.83

2012

43.25

47.37

2013

39.93

47.91

2014

36.05

48.46

2015

46.09

49.01

2016

42.33

49.58

2017

55.75

50.15

2018

61.65

50.72

2019

62.68

51.3O