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Table 5 Scenarios with different social distancing end dates by age in cities other than Wuhan. In all scenarios, social distancing for all age categories was assumed to begin on Jan 23, 2020. Scenario 3 corresponds to the status quo

From: Optimal timing and effectiveness of COVID-19 outbreak responses in China: a modelling study

Social distancing end date scenarios

 

“Youth”

“Adult”

“Elderly”

Scenario 1

Feb 15

Feb 15

Mar 31

Scenario 2

Fed 29

Feb 29

Mar 31

Scenario 3

Mar 31

Feb 29

Mar 31

Scenario 4

Mar 31

Mar 31

Mar 31