Fig. 3

ICU admission probability by age-group and race. Source: Authors’ calculation from the CDC data (The COVID-19-Associated Hospitalization Surveillance Network hospitalization data). The following formula is used to obtained the conditional probabilities: \(P(ICU|Race \& Age)=\frac {P(Race|ICU)P(Age|ICU)P(ICU)}{P(Race|ICU)P(Age|ICU)P(ICU)+P(Race|NonICU)P(Age|NonICU)P(NonICU)}\)