Fig. 4
From: Using prediction polling to harness collective intelligence for disease forecasting
Four measures of the accuracy and timeliness of the crowd’s forecasts. The left chart plots the percentage of days in the lifetime of each IFP that the crowd’s forecast met one of two accuracy criteria. The right chart plots how early in the lifetime of each IFP the crowd’s forecast met one of two accuracy criteria. The box plots represent 61 IFPs, with mean values are indicated by “+” marks. See text for a detailed description