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Table 3 Joinpoint analysis of trends in age-standardized premature mortality rates (ASPMR) of four major NCDs in Nanjing (2007–2018)

From: ‘Trend in premature mortality from four major NCDs in Nanjing, China, 2007–2018’

 

Total Study Period

Trend 1

Trend 2

Trend 3

AAPC (%, 95 CI)

years

APC (%)

years

APC (%)

years

APC (%)

All

−4.6*(−6.0 ~ −3.2)

2007–2010

−0.5

2010–2013

−12.1*

2013–2018

−2.3*

Subcategory

 Cancers

−4.5*(−6.3 ~ −2.7)

2007–2010

− 0.9

2010–2013

− 12.1*

2013–2018

− 1.9*

 Diabetes

− 1.3(− 6.1 ~ 3.8)

2007–2009

7.1

2009–2013

− 12.3*

2013–2018

5.1

 Cardiovascular disease

−5.0*(− 6.7 ~ − 3.2)

2007–2010

− 0.3

2010–2014

− 10.9*

2014–2018

− 2.2

 Chronic respiratory diseases

−5.7*(− 6.7 ~ − 4.8)

2007–2018

     

Gender

 Male

−4.7*(− 6.5 ~ − 2.9)

2007–2010

− 0.7

2010–2013

− 13.0*

2013–2018

− 1.8

 Female

−4.7*(− 6.4 ~ − 2.9)

2007–2010

0.0

2010–2013

− 11.6*

2013–2018

− 3.1*

Geographic

 Urban

−3.5*(− 5.6 ~ − 1.3)

2007–2010

− 1.3

2010–2013

−9.6*

2013–2018

−1.0

 Rural

− 5.6*(−7.1 ~ − 4.0)

2007–2010

− 0.3

2010–2013

−13.7*

2013–2018

− 3.5*

  1. Abbreviations: AAPC, the average annual percent change; APC, the annual percent change. * indicates that AAPC or APC significantly different from 0 (two-sided p < 0.05)