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Table 3 Covid-19 Morbidity sensitivity analyses with corresponding impact on YLD and DALYs, Malta, 2020

From: Estimating the direct Covid-19 disability-adjusted life years impact on the Malta population for the first full year

Impacted health status Sensitivity YLD (UI 95%) DALYs (UI)
Moderate - Community cases Increase by 10% 256 (170–361) 5484 (5399 - 5589)
Increase by 25% 267 (178–377) 5495 (5406 - 5606)
Increase by 50% 286 (190–405) 5514 (5418 - 5633)
Post-acute consequences for all cases Transition probability of 26.6% 406 (272–571) 5634 (5501 - 5800)
Transition probability of 6.65% 171 (113–241) 5399 (5342 - 5470)
Duration of 56 days 406 (272–571) 5634 (5501 - 5800)
Duration of 14 days 171 (114–241) 5399 (5342 - 5470)
Post-acute consequences for symptomatic cases only Transition probability of 26.6% 275 (184–388) 5504 (5413 - 5617)
Transition probability of 6.65% 138 (92–195) 5367 (5320 - 5424)
Duration of 56 days 275 (184–388) 5504 (5413 - 5617)
Duration of 14 days 138 (92–195) 5367 (5320 - 5424)
Combination to minimize the impact of YLD No increse in Moderate case 115 (76–163) 5344 (5305 - 5392)
Transition to post-acute consequences for symptomatic only
Half the transition of acute to post consequences (6.65%)
Half the duration for post-acute consequences (14 days)
Combination to maximize the impact of YLD Increase Moderate cases by 50% 3606 (2295 - 5201) 8834 (7524 - 10,429)
Transition to post-acute for All cases
Double transition of acute to post consequences (26.6%)
Double duration for post-acute consequences (56 days)