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Table 3 Projected isolation facility deficit at R0 = 2 · 2 and different R0 down to 1·6 (Assuming complete border closure & 100% isolation / hospitalization rate)

From: Modelling the impact of travel restrictions on COVID-19 cases in Hong Kong in early 2020

 

Maximum concurrent facility needed*

Additional isolation facilities required^

Single rooms

Isolation beds

Extra rooms needed

Date of reaching 100% occupancy

Extra beds needed

Date of reaching 100% occupancy

R0 2.2

5782

5292

21-Mar-2020

4830

28-Mar-2020

RE 2.1

3670

3180

24-Mar-2020

2718

31-Mar-2020

RE 2.0

2303

1813

28-Mar-2020

1351

05-Apr-2020

RE 1.9

1428

938

01-Apr-2020

476

10-Apr-2020

RE 1.8

874

384

07-Apr-2020

N/A

N/A

RE 1.7

528

38

14-Apr-2020

N/A

N/A

RE 1.6

314

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

  1. ^ Current capacity with 490 isolation rooms & 952 isolation beds