Fig. 2

Estimated odds ratios (odds of next event in each month compared to the odds of next event in March) and predicted probabilities of moving from the current state (columns) to next events (colours). Points are point estimates and vertical bars represent 95% confidence intervals. Note that for the ICU and post-ICU states, the observed numbers of events in June were small, so the “May” month includes events from both May and June combined. Note also that odds ratios are presented for 2/3 or 1/2 of the next events, since the probability of the remaining event (discharge in all three columns) is just defined as 1 minus the other probabilities