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Table 2 Comparing simulated results with historical data

From: Investigating the effectiveness of re-opening policies before vaccination during a pandemic: SD modelling research based on COVID-19 in Wuhan

 

Simulated

Historical

Difference (%)

Hospitalized peak value

36,820

38,970

−5.52%

Hospitalized peak date

Feb 17th

Feb 18th

−1 days

Cumulative confirmed cases on Apr. 30th

52,300

50,860

2.83%

Cumulative recovery on Apr. 30th

48,560

47,390

2.47%

Cumulative deaths on Apr. 30th

2650

2579

2.75%