Fig. 1

Predicted number of coronavirus cases per U.S. county over six months (n = 3142) based on (a) percentage of Blacks or (b) percentage of Hispanics and (c) percentage of Native Americans, obtained from negative binomial model adjusting for age, sex, rurality, days since index case and state testing rate (Model 1, Table 2). Models accounted for clustering within states and used ln(population) as the offset