Table 2 Purely temporal clusters identified by different window sizes, study period March-2008 to March-2018
From: Spatio-temporal epidemiology of the tuberculosis incidence rate in Iran 2008 to 2018
Type of disease | Window size | Time frame | Number of cases | Expected cases | Annual cases / 100,000 | OE | RR | LLR | P-value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total TB | Areas with high rates | ||||||||
25% | 2012–2013 | 22,073 | 20,425.02 | 14.2 | 1.08 | 1.10 | 81.73 | 0.001 | |
35% | 2011–2013 | 32,712 | 30,226.28 | 14.2 | 1.08 | 1.12 | 143.69 | 0.001 | |
50% | 2010–2014 | 53,366 | 49,895.66 | 14.0 | 1.07 | 1.15 | 238.58 | 0.001 | |
Areas with low rates | |||||||||
25% | 2017–2018 | 17,937 | 21,059.13 | 11.2 | 0.85 | 0.82 | 303.99 | 0.001 | |
35% | 2017–2018 | 17,937 | 21,059.13 | 11.2 | 0.85 | 0.82 | 303.99 | 0.001 | |
50% | 2017–2018 | 17,937 | 21,059.13 | 11.2 | 0.85 | 0.82 | 303.99 | 0.001 | |
Smear Positive Pulmonary TB | Areas with high rates | ||||||||
25% | 2011–2012 | 10,891 | 10,089.69 | 7.1 | 1.08 | 1.10 | 39 | 0.001 | |
35% | 2011–2013 | 16,277 | 15,113.59 | 7.1 | 1.08 | 1.11 | 63 | 0.001 | |
50% | 2010–2014 | 26,720 | 24,948.57 | 7.0 | 1.07 | 1.15 | 124.32 | 0.001 | |
Areas with low rates | |||||||||
25% | 2017–2018 | 8984 | 10,529.88 | 5.6 | 0.85 | 0.82 | 148.99 | 0.001 | |
35% | 2016–2018 | 13,911 | 15,703.99 | 5.8 | 0.89 | 0.84 | 151.91 | 0.001 | |
50% | 2015–2018 | 18,886 | 20,809.17 | 5.9 | 0.91 | 0.85 | 152.72 | 0.001 |