Skip to main content

Table 3 Probability of a policy target

From: When can physical distancing be relaxed? A health production function approach for COVID-19 control policy

 

France

Germany

Italy

The UK

The US

Indonesia

Policy (daily-cases) target, I*

This analysis is not applicable for France

This analysis is not applicable for Germany

This analysis is not applicable for Italy

10,000

65,000

This analysis is not applicable for Indonesia

Probability of I (t + 1) ≤ I*, if:

 ɛt > 1.0

   

0.00

0.00

 

 0 ≤ ɛt ≤ 1.0

   

0.50

0.25

 

 0 ≤ ɛt ≤ 0.5

   

Not applicable

Not applicable

 

Probability of I (t + 1) ≤ I* and I (t + 1) ≤ I(t), if:

 ɛt > 1.0

   

0.00

0.00

 

 0 ≤ ɛt ≤ 1.0

   

0.50

0.25

 

 0 ≤ ɛt ≤ 0.5

   

Not applicable

Not applicable