Table 3 Predicted prevalence of common rehabilitation amenable conditions in 2022 based on South Africa’s population in 2017 [47]
Condition | Number of people per 100,000 in 2017 | Number of people per 100,000 in 2022 (predicted population of 61.5 million [48]) | % change (95% CIs) |
|---|---|---|---|
HIV/AIDS (including resultant TB) | 12,726 | 12,516 | −1,7 (− 1.9 to − 1.4) |
Burns | 2764 | 2792 | 1.0 (0.7 to 1.5) |
Stroke | 889 | 855 | −3.7 (− 5.2 to − 2.6) |
Musculoskeletal disorders | 6742 | 7004 | 3.9 (3.5 to 4.4) |
Chronic respiratory disease | 6126 | 6175 | 0.8 (0.6 to 1.1) |
Diabetes mellitus type 2 | 7653 | 7750 | 1.3 (1.1 to 1.6) |
Congenital birth defects | 1761 | 1734 | −1.0 (−1.7 to −0.6) |
Neonatal disorders | 1802 | 2089 | 15.9 (14.2 to 17.7) |
Hearing loss | 18,271 | 19,013 | 4.1 (3.8 to 4.4) |
Cardiovascular disease & heart failure (excluding stroke) | 5866 | 6177 | 5.3 (4.7 to 5.9) |
Fractures and dislocations | 3406 | 3167 | −7.0 (−7.9 to −6.2) |