Table 3 Results for selected event detection algorithms for P. falciparum and mixed malaria events in 2019
Algorithm | % Events caught | % Timely | % True positive alarms | Total number of alarms |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Random (p = 0.2) | 90 | 70 | 17 | 233 |
Random (p = 0.05) | 57 | 27 | 22 | 92 |
Random (p = 0.012) | 13 | 3 | 4 | 33 |
EARS C1 (7 weeks) | 90 | 53 | 25 | 146 |
EARS C2 (7 weeks) | 100 | 73 | 27 | 152 |
EARS C3 (7 weeks) | 100 | 87 | 30 | 135 |
WHO mean + 2sd (5 years) | 80 | 11 | 51 | 72 |
WHO 75th percentile (5 years) | 97 | 28 | 26 | 200 |
WHO 85th percentile (5 years) | 97 | 73 | 35 | 143 |
Farrington A1 | 97 | 80 | 19 | 203 |
Farrington A2 | 100 | 87 | 25 | 163 |
Farrington B1 | 90 | 63 | 24 | 146 |
Farrington B2 | 93 | 63 | 29 | 116 |
Farrington C1 | 100 | 77 | 26 | 156 |
Farrington C2 | 40 | 7 | 100 | 16 |
Farrington C3 | 73 | 37 | 74 | 39 |
Farrington C4 | 83 | 53 | 51 | 63 |