Skip to main content

Table 3 Results for selected event detection algorithms for P. falciparum and mixed malaria events in 2019

From: Comparing malaria early detection methods in a declining transmission setting in northwestern Ethiopia

Algorithm % Events caught % Timely % True positive alarms Total number of alarms
Random (p = 0.2) 90 70 17 233
Random (p = 0.05) 57 27 22 92
Random (p = 0.012) 13 3 4 33
EARS C1 (7 weeks) 90 53 25 146
EARS C2 (7 weeks) 100 73 27 152
EARS C3 (7 weeks) 100 87 30 135
WHO mean + 2sd (5 years) 80 11 51 72
WHO 75th percentile (5 years) 97 28 26 200
WHO 85th percentile (5 years) 97 73 35 143
Farrington A1 97 80 19 203
Farrington A2 100 87 25 163
Farrington B1 90 63 24 146
Farrington B2 93 63 29 116
Farrington C1 100 77 26 156
Farrington C2 40 7 100 16
Farrington C3 73 37 74 39
Farrington C4 83 53 51 63
  1. Farrington parameter details can be found in Table 4