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Table 1 Total number of COVID-19 cases in China under different scenarios

From: Does lock-down of Wuhan effectively restrict early geographic spread of novel coronavirus epidemic during chunyun in China? A spatial model study

Scenario

Description

Number of cases on Feb 9, 2020

Baseline

Chunyun (yes), lock-down (yes)

48,637

1

Chunyun (no), lock-down (yes)

46,769 (−3.84%)

2

Chunyun (yes), lock-down (no)

64,424 (32.46%)

3

Chunyun (no), lock-down (no)

58,473 (20.22%)

  1. Percentage change (%) was based on the baseline and highlighted in bold
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BMC Public Health

ISSN: 1471-2458

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