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Table 2 Observed and predicted vegetable consumption (g/day) for reference forecast and three alternative scenarios

From: Projections of disability-adjusted life years for major diseases due to a change in vegetable intake in 2017–2040 in Japan

Age category

20–49

Sex

Male

Female

Total population

Scenario

R

1

2

3

R

1

2

3

R

1

2

3

Observed period*1

1995

269.8

269.8

269.8

269.8

252.8

252.8

252.8

252.8

263.9

263.9

263.9

263.9

2000

279.1

279.1

279.1

279.1

254.7

254.7

254.7

254.7

264.5

264.5

264.5

264.5

2004

228.2

228.2

228.2

228.2

207.4

207.4

207.4

207.4

217.0

217.0

217.0

217.0

2010

245.2

245.2

245.2

245.2

217.6

217.6

217.6

217.6

228.9

228.9

228.9

228.9

2016

240.0

240.0

240.0

240.0

217.1

217.1

217.1

217.1

229.5

229.5

229.5

229.5

Prediction period*1

2023

231.9

350.0

269.7

234.1

203.2

350.0

254.6

213.0

221.6

350.0

263.0

224.2

2030

216.3

350.0

302.7

231.7

192.3

350.0

293.9

210.7

202.2

350.0

298.8

221.2

2035

208.9

350.0

326.4

229.9

184.9

350.0

321.9

209.0

198.2

350.0

324.4

219.1

2040

199.6

350.0

350.0

228.1

177.8

350.0

350.0

207.4

189.8

350.0

350.0

217.0

Age category

50–69

Sex

Male

Female

Total population

Scenario

R

1

2

3

R

1

2

3

R

1

2

3

Observed period*1

1995

311.2

311.2

311.2

311.2

289.5

289.5

289.5

289.5

299.0

299.0

299.0

299.0

2000

324.8

324.8

324.8

324.8

324.9

324.9

324.9

324.9

327.5

327.5

327.5

327.5

2004

267.0

267.0

267.0

267.0

259.1

259.1

259.1

259.1

262.8

262.8

262.8

262.8

2010

277.7

277.7

277.7

277.7

278.5

278.5

278.5

278.5

280.9

280.9

280.9

280.9

2016

273.4

273.4

273.4

273.4

267.3

267.3

267.3

267.3

271.2

271.2

271.2

271.2

Prediction period*1

2023

294.4

350.0

302.5

278.3

267.4

350.0

294.3

268.9

262.0

350.0

292.4

267.0

2030

295.7

350.0

322.1

273.6

248.1

350.0

316.0

265.0

245.8

350.0

316.1

265.2

2035

295.9

350.0

336.0

270.3

247.0

350.0

331.4

262.3

240.6

350.0

333.1

264.0

2040

295.9

350.0

350.0

267.0

238.1

350.0

346.9

259.6

229.9

350.0

350.0

262.8

Age category

≥70

Sex

Male

Female

Total population

Scenario

R

1

2

3

R

1

2

3

R

1

2

3

Observed period*1

1995

260.9

260.9

260.9

260.9

250.7

250.7

250.7

250.7

253.8

253.8

253.8

253.8

2000

324.3

324.3

324.3

324.3

303.0

303.0

303.0

303.0

301.9

301.9

301.9

301.9

2004

252.2

252.2

252.2

252.2

240.0

240.0

240.0

240.0

245.3

245.3

245.3

245.3

2010

283.1

283.1

283.1

283.1

272.8

272.8

272.8

272.8

276.8

276.8

276.8

276.8

2016

287.0

287.0

287.0

287.0

272.5

272.5

272.5

272.5

279.1

279.1

279.1

279.1

Prediction period*1

2023

287.3

350.0

303.2

274.7

271.1

350.0

291.7

259.6

279.8

350.0

296.9

266.4

2030

290.3

350.0

322.5

265.4

268.6

350.0

315.7

251.5

277.1

350.0

318.8

257.7

2035

289.3

350.0

336.2

258.8

266.8

350.0

332.8

245.7

274.5

350.0

334.4

251.5

2040

284.8

350.0

350.0

252.2

267.6

350.0

350.0

240.0

275.7

350.0

350.0

245.3

Age category

All ages

Sex

 

Male

Female

Total population

Scenario

 

R

1

2

3

R

1

2

3

R

1

2

3

Observed period*1

1995

284.1

284.1

284.1

284.1

265.8

265.8

265.8

265.8

272.2

272.2

272.2

272.2

2000

302.4

302.4

302.4

302.4

287.0

287.0

287.0

287.0

294.2

294.2

294.2

294.2

2004

247.9

247.9

247.9

247.9

233.7

233.7

233.7

233.7

240.2

240.2

240.2

240.2

2010

264.9

264.9

264.9

264.9

255.5

255.5

255.5

255.5

259.9

259.9

259.9

259.9

2016

266.6

266.6

266.6

266.6

253.2

253.2

253.2

253.2

259.3

259.3

259.3

259.3

Prediction period*1

2023

256.5

350.0

284.9

255.1

251.9

350.0

282.3

248.4

252.4

350.0

285.3

253.2

2030

246.4

350.0

311.7

252.1

236.4

350.0

310.2

242.3

246.2

350.0

311.9

247.9

2035

239.6

350.0

330.8

250.0

235.2

350.0

330.1

238.0

241.9

350.0

331.0

244.1

2040

230.9

350.0

350.0

247.9

229.3

350.0

350.0

233.7

237.7

350.0

350.0

240.2

  1. *1Observed: 1990–2016; predicted: 2017–2040
  2. R: reference forecast; 1: better case scenario; 2: moderate case scenario; 3: worse case scenario