Skip to main content

Table 2 Observed and predicted vegetable consumption (g/day) for reference forecast and three alternative scenarios

From: Projections of disability-adjusted life years for major diseases due to a change in vegetable intake in 2017–2040 in Japan

Age category 20–49
Sex Male Female Total population
Scenario R 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 R 1 2 3
Observed period*1 1995 269.8 269.8 269.8 269.8 252.8 252.8 252.8 252.8 263.9 263.9 263.9 263.9
2000 279.1 279.1 279.1 279.1 254.7 254.7 254.7 254.7 264.5 264.5 264.5 264.5
2004 228.2 228.2 228.2 228.2 207.4 207.4 207.4 207.4 217.0 217.0 217.0 217.0
2010 245.2 245.2 245.2 245.2 217.6 217.6 217.6 217.6 228.9 228.9 228.9 228.9
2016 240.0 240.0 240.0 240.0 217.1 217.1 217.1 217.1 229.5 229.5 229.5 229.5
Prediction period*1 2023 231.9 350.0 269.7 234.1 203.2 350.0 254.6 213.0 221.6 350.0 263.0 224.2
2030 216.3 350.0 302.7 231.7 192.3 350.0 293.9 210.7 202.2 350.0 298.8 221.2
2035 208.9 350.0 326.4 229.9 184.9 350.0 321.9 209.0 198.2 350.0 324.4 219.1
2040 199.6 350.0 350.0 228.1 177.8 350.0 350.0 207.4 189.8 350.0 350.0 217.0
Age category 50–69
Sex Male Female Total population
Scenario R 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 R 1 2 3
Observed period*1 1995 311.2 311.2 311.2 311.2 289.5 289.5 289.5 289.5 299.0 299.0 299.0 299.0
2000 324.8 324.8 324.8 324.8 324.9 324.9 324.9 324.9 327.5 327.5 327.5 327.5
2004 267.0 267.0 267.0 267.0 259.1 259.1 259.1 259.1 262.8 262.8 262.8 262.8
2010 277.7 277.7 277.7 277.7 278.5 278.5 278.5 278.5 280.9 280.9 280.9 280.9
2016 273.4 273.4 273.4 273.4 267.3 267.3 267.3 267.3 271.2 271.2 271.2 271.2
Prediction period*1 2023 294.4 350.0 302.5 278.3 267.4 350.0 294.3 268.9 262.0 350.0 292.4 267.0
2030 295.7 350.0 322.1 273.6 248.1 350.0 316.0 265.0 245.8 350.0 316.1 265.2
2035 295.9 350.0 336.0 270.3 247.0 350.0 331.4 262.3 240.6 350.0 333.1 264.0
2040 295.9 350.0 350.0 267.0 238.1 350.0 346.9 259.6 229.9 350.0 350.0 262.8
Age category ≥70
Sex Male Female Total population
Scenario R 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 R 1 2 3
Observed period*1 1995 260.9 260.9 260.9 260.9 250.7 250.7 250.7 250.7 253.8 253.8 253.8 253.8
2000 324.3 324.3 324.3 324.3 303.0 303.0 303.0 303.0 301.9 301.9 301.9 301.9
2004 252.2 252.2 252.2 252.2 240.0 240.0 240.0 240.0 245.3 245.3 245.3 245.3
2010 283.1 283.1 283.1 283.1 272.8 272.8 272.8 272.8 276.8 276.8 276.8 276.8
2016 287.0 287.0 287.0 287.0 272.5 272.5 272.5 272.5 279.1 279.1 279.1 279.1
Prediction period*1 2023 287.3 350.0 303.2 274.7 271.1 350.0 291.7 259.6 279.8 350.0 296.9 266.4
2030 290.3 350.0 322.5 265.4 268.6 350.0 315.7 251.5 277.1 350.0 318.8 257.7
2035 289.3 350.0 336.2 258.8 266.8 350.0 332.8 245.7 274.5 350.0 334.4 251.5
2040 284.8 350.0 350.0 252.2 267.6 350.0 350.0 240.0 275.7 350.0 350.0 245.3
Age category All ages
Sex   Male Female Total population
Scenario   R 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 R 1 2 3
Observed period*1 1995 284.1 284.1 284.1 284.1 265.8 265.8 265.8 265.8 272.2 272.2 272.2 272.2
2000 302.4 302.4 302.4 302.4 287.0 287.0 287.0 287.0 294.2 294.2 294.2 294.2
2004 247.9 247.9 247.9 247.9 233.7 233.7 233.7 233.7 240.2 240.2 240.2 240.2
2010 264.9 264.9 264.9 264.9 255.5 255.5 255.5 255.5 259.9 259.9 259.9 259.9
2016 266.6 266.6 266.6 266.6 253.2 253.2 253.2 253.2 259.3 259.3 259.3 259.3
Prediction period*1 2023 256.5 350.0 284.9 255.1 251.9 350.0 282.3 248.4 252.4 350.0 285.3 253.2
2030 246.4 350.0 311.7 252.1 236.4 350.0 310.2 242.3 246.2 350.0 311.9 247.9
2035 239.6 350.0 330.8 250.0 235.2 350.0 330.1 238.0 241.9 350.0 331.0 244.1
2040 230.9 350.0 350.0 247.9 229.3 350.0 350.0 233.7 237.7 350.0 350.0 240.2
  1. *1Observed: 1990–2016; predicted: 2017–2040
  2. R: reference forecast; 1: better case scenario; 2: moderate case scenario; 3: worse case scenario