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Table 1 Estimated excess mortality and percentage changes in deaths from different causes in Guangzhou, China from 21 January through 30 June 2020

From: Temporal dynamic in the impact of COVID− 19 outbreak on cause-specific mortality in Guangzhou, China

Cause of death Excess mortality (95% eCI) Percentage change
% (95% eCI)
All causes -1051 (−1558, − 580) − 4.1 (− 6.1, − 2.3)
Respiratory diseases −1691 (− 1929, − 1459) −37.4 (− 42.6, − 32.2)
 Pneumonia and influenza −1383 (− 1595, − 1196) −49.2 (− 56.7, − 42.6)
 Chronic lower respiratory diseases −342 (− 474, − 223) −22.1 (− 30.6, − 14.4)
Cardiovascular diseases 197 (−156, 516) 1.9 (− 1.5, 5.0)
 Hypertension 113 (16, 194) 14.5 (2.0, 24.8)
 Myocardial infarction 156 (4, 278) 8.6 (0.2, 15.4)
 Cerebrovascular diseases 13 (−189, 208) 0.3 (−4.5, 4.9)
Malignant neoplasms 80 (−180, 305) 1.3 (−2.8, 4.8)
 Malignant neoplasm of liver and intrahepatic bile dusts 7 (− 97, 93) 0.7 (−10.1, 9.7)
 Malignant neoplasm of the trachea, bronchus and lung 74 (−55, 184) 4.1 (−3.1, 10.2)
Diabetes mellitus 58 (−21, 124) 10.2 (−3.7, 22.0)
External causes −6 (− 114, 88) −0.5 (−9.2, 7.2)
 Transport accidents −15 (−58, 15) −8.8 (− 33.2, 8.3)
 Intentional self-harm 3 (−51, 39) 1.7 (−27.5, 21.1)
  1. Abbreviation: 95% eCI 95% Empirical confidence interval